Posted by
The OttO Show on Wednesday, August 20, 2008 11:00:00 AM
The Obama's position on
winning in Iraq is that we never should have been there in the first
place. Barack Obama is trying to present himself as both
flexible and inflexible in regards to his stated campaign
promise: "...When I am Commander-in-Chief, I will
set a new goal on day one: I will end this war."
So
does it or does it not matter what is happening in the
theater? Obama says that He will listen to and assess the
input from ground force commanders and military brass in regards to
when it is and isn't safe to make drastic changes in the Iraq
situation. He also says that as the CIC, He will set a new
mission for the generals to achieve, namely getting the troops
out. So what if they oppose that? Then
what? If He listens to generals who are troubled by His
mission, does He consider abandoning His mission? Or does He
act in accordance with one of his previous positions which was to more
or less blow off the recommendations of the people managing the
conflict? If a turn for the worse or a turn for the
better...does either really
matter?
That approach ignores five
years of living history on which demonstrates that it is vital that a
president be flexible enough and observant enough to know that saying
that 'we should have never ousted Saddam Hussein from power (because
with Saddam in power, all of our problems would be gone)' is not a
strategy.
How are we to trust a
commander-in-chief who ignores all data from an ongoing war and all
input from it's commanders to make his decisions based on the
post-toddler position of 'we shouldn't have gone there in the first
place'? I still don't get Obama's view that losing in Iraq
will help us win in Afghanistan, which, even if it's true - and it's
not - it's like saying if I sell my Mercedes that will help me buy a
Ford Taurus and then I can attract an entire new class of
women. It's sophomoric. And it's based on
a lie.
I stated some time ago that if we were to abandon Iraq when
Harry Reid and Barack Obama wanted to do so a year-and-a-half ago,
there would be no point or hope of continuing the fight in Afghanistan
or elsewhere (though the fighting would continue). Handing
the enemy the method on how to defeat the US military - or
more accurately, defeat the US Congress - would ensure that
it is repeated, with more determination and confidence than previously
displayed.
The whole take-from-Iraq-and-give-to-Afghanistan plan is
based on a lie. A big lie. From the ground
up.
We'll get to the lie. First, the motivation
behind this Obama position. It about represents the safest
position that Obama could take on the war. He can end the war
in Iraq "without preconditions" and appease his
anti-war handlers. He can also put at ease some of the hawks
and moderates who believe that Al Qaeda must be defeated
<em>somewhere</em>. It may become
more difficult, as November approaches, to convince people that
abandoning Iraq on a phony pretext is the way to go since Rasmussen is
reporting that for the first time since 2004, a majority of Americans
believe we are winning the war. Regardless, Obama maintains
the perception of sanity by not pulling out of both Iraq
<em>and</em> Afghanistan - which fits in
perfectly with the big lie and clumsily reaches out to supporters of
the war without compromising the base and propping up the
lie: the lie that the Left has always supported the mission
in Afghanistan.
One of my more satisfying moments as a blogger was a few
years ago when an outspoken nemesis claimed that his opposition to the
Iraq War was rationalized by the fact that he supported the Afghanistan
invasion.
I confronted him on it, he stuck to his story and I was fortunately
able to produce exchanges I had with him in early 2002 where he clearly
and passionately opposed invading Afghanistan. Is there a
conservative who was blogging during the months after 9/11 who didn't
debate people opposed to invading Afghanistan? Those people
gave many of the same arguments against Afghanistan as they would
against Iraq a little over a year later. But during the
buildup to Iraq, suddenly you had to search for a leftist who opposed
Afghanistan.
Why is that? Especially considering that just
during the first days of the Afghanistan war the anti-war left was
already smearing the invasion with much of the same language and claims
that they later used for Iraq. On October 31,
2001, just three weeks into the war the NY
Times asked, "Could Afghanistan become another
Vietnam?". MediaMonitorNetworks reported on November 21,
2001 (a week after Kabul fell to the Americans
and a week before Mullah 'Cyclops' Omar fled Kandahar) with another
question, "Is Afghanistan slipping into a
quagmire?"
Time Magazine reported on October 31,
2001 , that because the "war in
Afghanistan drags on without any bankable signs of progress"
[in it's third week of American's running roughshod over the Taliban!]
they declared the "Halloween Word for the Pundits"
was "Quagmire". In a country where the
Soviets struggled for ten years, American boots had barely hit the sand
before opponents were calling it not only a quagmire, but
lost. Anti-war comments were peppered with mockery of the
mission after our failure to capture bin Laden in the initial
run. The obligatory invocation of Vietnam
emerged.
The Left didn't want to go in and they didn't see or
necessarily care for a victory there - after all, only 88% of Americans
supported that war; someone was against it! So why the
change of heart and where precisely did it
emerge?
The Left now will claim (in alliance with Obama) that being
in Iraq is distracting us from the goal of capturing and destroying the
organizations that perpetrated the September 11 attacks. That
concerns them now when all conventional wisdom says that AQ leadership
is hiding in Pakistan. In 2001, it didn't seem to matter that
the leaders behind the attack were actually in Afghanistan daring us to
invade. People who opposed the Afghanistan invasion for the
usual laundry list of reasons are now eager to get back to the fight
there, even tap dancing around the possibility that a confrontation
with a nuclear armed nation of 168 million Muslims might be considered
in the efforts to capture a handful of men.
Democrats become incessant
about wars with setbacks but are quick to get America involved in some
of the bloodiest confrontations in our history. Afghanistan
was a sure-loser; Iraq was a sure-loser. Now that Iraq is
begin to become shielded against the ritualistic claims of Leftist
prophets, their answer is to move troops back into the other
sure-loser. Since it's not enough of a sure-loser, let's
throw Pakistan into the mix - it's better to have a hostile nuclear
threat than an unstable and flawed ally.
But that is now; this was
then. Since seizing Afghanistan from the Taliban was such a
quick and resounding success and more questions could be fueled about
the necessity or legitimacy of invading Iraq, the Left managed to move
stealth-like from opposing the first war to opposing the
second. After establishing an echo-chamber for attempting to
stop the Iraq invasion, suddenly the Afghanistan war that they opposed
became their own political tool. An Iraq invasion would never
be as popular as the Afghanistan invasion and they capitalized on that
by doing what they do best: rewriting history. By
hitching on to the Afghanistan cart they could use that to legitimize
their contempt for ousting Saddam Hussein. After all,
Leftist-prophets could paint their pictures of doom and gloom with
reason and rationale because...they backed the previous
invasion. They weren't just anti-war mouthpieces - they were
selectively opposing an Iraq invasion based on substance rather than
fanatically opposing it based on political
ideals.
In the years since the Iraq invasion, Afghanistan suddenly
turned into the war that Leftists wanted to win, or at least
fight. Some of the most consistent complaints during Iraq's
post-invasion era was that we were distracted from fighting in
Afghanistan, that it was now, years later, imperative to go back and
get the perpetrators of 9/11, the very perps they opposed getting in
2001 and the only way to do that would be to lose in
Iraq.
The Obama is simply carrying that torch. Back to
my automobile analogy:
Former Secretary of Defense
Donald Rumsfeld famously said, "Afghanistan is
running out of targets." Or infamously
said if you buy into the way his words were spun by the
Left.
The point is that the war on terror has been about getting
Osama bin Laden. But of course in a world that doesn't fold
up neatly like the pages of The Nation publication
the war has been about so much more and Iraq was intricate to much of
it. Osama may not have been in Iraq but Saddam Hussein
was. Hussein was the most open and hostile state supporter of
international terrorism in the world, in conflict with the Bush
Doctrine of 2001. Iraq is positioned in the heart of the
middle east; Afghanistan is not. Iraq has
infrastructure; Afghanistan does not. Iraq has oil;
Afghanistan has a pipe.
For good measure, add Saddam's
history of invasions, use of wmds against civilian populations, his
threats against the US, his financial support for Palestinian suicide
bombers, his multiple violations of ceasefire resolutions, including
his consistent attacks against no-fly-zone enforcements...the question
almost becomes, 'In what world wouldn't we move from Afghanistan to
Iraq?'
War with Saddam Hussein was
surely inevitable. I have no doubt in my mind that even had
we not invaded in March of 2003, we would still be in Iraq today, only
with a more complex geopolitical layout and more questions than answers
on Iraq's WMD capabilities.
Win in Iraq, President Obama -
and win decisively. Then maybe you won't have to start all
over from the ground up in Afghanistan, which is no more appealing
today than it was seven years ago, despite the political advantages of
pretending it is so.